playMatt BowenCloseMatt BowenESPN WriterMatt Bowen is a fantasy football and NFL writer for ESPN. He joined ESPN in 2015, writes regularly for ESPN+ and spent multiple years on “NFL Matchup.” After graduating from the University of Iowa, Matt played safety in the NFL for St. Louis, Green Bay, Washington and Buffalo over seven seasons., Pamela MaldonadoClosePamela MaldonadoSports Betting AnalystPamela Maldonado is a sports betting analyst for ESPN., Eric MoodyCloseEric MoodyESPN WriterEric Moody is a writer for fantasy football, men’s and women’s basketball, and sports betting at ESPN. Eric joined ESPN in 2021 after working as a senior fantasy analyst at Pro Football Network.
Prior to that, he spent much of his career as a manager at a Fortune 100 financial services company., Ben SolakCloseBen SolakESPNBen Solak joined ESPN in 2024 as a national NFL analyst. He previously covered the NFL at The Ringer, Bleeding Green Nation and The Draft Network., Seth WalderCloseSeth WalderESPN AnalyticsSeth Walder is an analytics writer at ESPN, specializing in quantitative analysis. He is also a regular on “ESPN Bet Live” and helps cover sports betting. Seth has been at ESPN since 2017.
He previously worked at the New York Daily News covering the Jets and Giants. You can follow Seth on X via @SethWalder.Multiple AuthorsNov 14, 2026, 06:50 AM ETOpen Extended ReactionsWeek 10 of the 2026 NFL season is underway after the Commanders beat the Giants on Thursday night. But what will happen in the remaining 13 games? We have 15 predictions from our NFL experts.First, betting analyst Pamela Maldonado picks two underdogs who could win outright.
Then, analytics writer Seth Walder projects stat lines for three players. Fantasy football writer Eric Moody suggests three sleepers, and analyst Matt Bowen predicts three players who will find the end zone. Finally, analyst Ben Solak lays out four wild-card predictions.Will the Steelers upset the Bengals? How many yards will Trey McBride have against the Rams?
Could Jadarian Price score his first NFL touchdown? And will Raiders coach Klint Kubiak dial up a trick play in Fernando Mendoza’s first start?Let’s make 15 big predictions for the Sunday and Monday action.Jump to: Upset picks | Projected stat lines Fantasy sleepers, surprises TD scorers | Other predictionsMaldonado predicts two upsetsCarolina Panthers +2.5 (+110 moneyline) at New Orleans SaintsQuarterback Bryce Young is getting the ball out more quickly recently without sacrificing chances downfield, which could be helpful against New Orleans’ pass rush. The Saints are allowing 7.8 yards per pass attempt, giving Tetairoa McMillan opportunities to make big plays.New Orleans hasn’t gotten much from its running game, and it will be without starting center Erik McCoy (biceps injury) on Sunday. That puts more stress on quarterback Tyler Shough, enabling Carolina to keep this close and potentially win outright.Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 (+150 moneyline) at Cincinnati BengalsRunning back Jaylen Warren gives Pittsburgh a way to control this game.
He already piled up 176 total yards in Pittsburgh’s Week 3 win over Cincinnati, and the Bengals keep giving up long runs this season.Cincinnati also struggles to defend the middle of the field, where Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has strong options in WR Germie Bernard and TE Darnell Washington. Bengals QB Joe Burrow will get his points, but Pittsburgh can answer without asking Rodgers to force deep throws.Walder predicts three stat linesMalik Washington, WR, Miami Dolphins: 11 targets, 7 receptions, 78 receiving yards, 1 touchdownEvery year I look for the players who are excelling in ESPN’s open score — which measures a receiver’s ability to get open on all routes, regardless of target — but struggling in catch score. That’s because open score is much more stable than catch score and correlates better with future production.Washington fits this profile exactly with an 82 open score (tied with Garrett Wilson for second best) but just a 38 catch score (below average). So there is a decent chance Washington’s production will increase, and it could happen as early as this Sunday — even with backup quarterback Kyle McCord throwing him the ball.
Washington should line up against Colts nickel cornerback Justin Walley, who missed the past two games with a knee injury and is allowing 1.8 yards per coverage snap, per NFL Next Gen Stats. That’s well above the 1.1 average.Trey McBride, TE, Arizona Cardinals: 13 targets, 9 receptions, 99 receiving yardsIf I were quarterback Carson Beck, I would make a point of throwing to McBride when in doubt during my NFL debut. But that would be especially true now that Michael Wilson is out for the season with a neck injury. And even further because 23% of targets against the Rams’ defense have been to tight ends, the sixth-highest rate in the league.As long as cornerback Trent McDuffie isn’t on McBride, he ought to be the priority target on most plays.
If the Cardinals fall behind, McBride should be in line for quite a bit of garbage-time production to come close to the 100-yard mark.Justin Eboigbe, DT, Los Angeles Chargers: 1.0 sacks, 4 pressures, 19% pass rush win rateEboigbe recorded 6.0 sacks a year ago but has just 0.5 this season. Plus, he has a well-below-average pass rush win rate. So why am I forecasting a big game for Eboigbe on Monday? Because of who he’ll line up against.
Ravens right guard John Simpson has a sixth-percentile pass block win rate at the position, while center Cam Jurgens is literally last in pass block win rate at his position since he started playing for the Ravens in Week 7.play0:46Ian Rapoport details Broncos’ trade for Daiyan Henley falling throughMoody predicts three fantasy sleepersAaron Rodgers, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers (35.4% rostered in ESPN leagues)Rodgers has averaged just 8.9 fantasy points over his past two games, with Pittsburgh leaning heavily on its running game. That could change Sunday night against a Bengals offense that ranks second in points per game, which could force the Steelers to throw more to keep pace.Rodgers threw for 292 yards and three touchdown passes against Cincinnati in Week 3, finishing with 22.6 fantasy points. The Bengals have also allowed 17.8 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season.Corey Kiner, RB, New England Patriots (31.9%)Kiner could lead the Patriots’ backfield against the Lions this week, with Rhamondre Stevenson listed as questionable (knee tendon issue) and TreVeyon Henderson is out. Kiner rushed for 55 yards and a touchdown on eight carries against the Packers last week; he leads New England with 4.9 yards per carry this season.Detroit has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs, so it’s a tough matchup.
But Kiner could see 14-plus rushing attempts, while Lan Larison handles more of the work on passing downs.Tutu Atwell, WR, Los Angeles Rams (8.1%)With Puka Nacua and Davante Adams both sidelined, Atwell could see a lot more targets against the Cardinals. He has drawn nine targets over his past two games and played more snaps than any other healthy Rams receiver against the Commanders.Arizona has allowed 32.2 fantasy points per game to wide receivers and the second-most passing touchdowns in the league. Atwell’s production has been inconsistent, but his ability to make plays downfield and the opportunity for more targets make him worth considering in deeper leagues.play1:48Myles Garrett details range of emotions when he was sidelined with injuryBowen predicts three touchdown scorersJadarian Price, RB, Seattle Seahawks Price had 78 total yards in the Week 9 win over the Cardinals, and he looked explosive in the pass game with four receptions for 54 yards. He will continue to split touches with Zach Charbonnet on Sunday versus the Raiders, but I see him scoring his first pro touchdown here — off a screen pass.George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ersTake the target volume with Ki
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